What are the chances of being granted asylum?

The success rate (recognition rate) from Immigration Service (first instance) has dropped during the first 7 months of 2017 to 33%. In 2016 it was 72%, and in 2015 a record high of 85%.

The numbers reflect more than anything else where the applicants are coming from. Almost everybody from Syria and Eritrea are granted asylum all over Europe, and very few unfounded applicants come to Denmark. As the percentage of Syrians and Eritreans is dropping, so is the recognition rate. At the same time, the total number is much smaller, which means that a relatively small number of unaccompanied minors from Morocco for instance can affect the average when they get rejected.

When e.g. Germany has had a much lower rate than Denmark, it is because many Serbs, Albanians and Kosovarians have applied in Germany but were rejected.

The Refugee Appeals Board (second instance) overturned 20% of the negative rulings from the Danish Immigration Service in  2016.

Recognition rates in Denmark

 

Recognition rates in Denmark and EU 2016

In spite of the high recognition rate, it is far from easy to get asylum in Denmark, compared to our neighbour countries. Especially Afghans and Iraqis have a much lower chance in Denmark than EUs average, including Germany and Sweden. In one aspect however, Denmark has a more generous attitude than Sweden: we generally grant convention status to Syrians which the Swedes do not.

Decisions on largest nationalities: Denmark, Sweden, Germany. 2015 + 2016

Which status do you get?

Since February 2015 there has been 3 different asylum statuses: Art. 7(1), convention status, refers directly to the UN Refugee Convention. Art. 7(2), protection status, refers to the other human rights conventions and the ban against torture. And then there is the new art. 7(3), temporary protection against general risk.

Around one third are granted the weaker status 7(3), which does not give access to family reunification for the first 3 years. The majority of those are women and unaccompanied minors from Syria. All three statuses are, however, temporary, are only given for 1-2 years at a time and can be revoked again. Convention status is very rarely revoked.